The 1,000 Guineas is invariably overshadowed by 2,000 Guineas, over the same course and distance the previous day, but is usually at least as competitive numerically. The first fillies’ Classic has, in fact, thrown up winners at 16/1, 20/1 and 25/1 in the last decade, along with three winning favourites, so looking beyond the obvious market leaders can sometimes pay dividends.
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With that in mind, while acknowledging that the likes of Happily, September and Clemmie all warrant their places at, or towards, the head of the market, we’ve opted for a small, each-way nibble at a filly that we think could belie huge odds in the ante post market by running well on the Rowley Mile. Our speculative selection is David Simcock’s unbeaten filly Teppala, who has her stamina to prove, being by Camacho out of a Cadeaux Genereux mare, but is priced up at a tempting 40/1 with Ladbrokes and Betfair.
She was clearly ‘expected’ on her debut at Lingfield in August and was value for much further than her winning margin of a neck, having cruised upsides the leader in the closing stages, and confirmed that promise with another facile, 4-length win at Kempton in September. Obviously, she (i) needs to improve on her bare form so far and (ii) needs to translate her all-weather form to turf, but it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that she can do both and, at the odds on offer, it’s worth chancing that she does.
Selection: Newmarket 3.35 Teppala each-way (40/1 with Ladbrokes and Betfair)